George Mason
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 75.9742Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 10-11 209 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 6- 9 213 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 12- 7 215 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 6 221 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 12-14 227 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 16-12 307 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 9 310 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 15- 6 314 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 15-16 318 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 8-18 321 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 16-14 328 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 3-17 404 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 9-12 411 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 8-16 418 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 5-13 425 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 2-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Robert Morris 10-11 -1 2 - -2.90
209 A LIU 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.69
213 H Radford 12- 7 5 6 -1.01
215 A Youngstown State 17- 6 11 2 +++ 8.68
221 H William & Mary 12-14 -2 -3 0.54
227 A American 16-12 4 -4 +++ 8.23
307 A La Salle 10- 9 1 3 -1.97
310 H Howard (DC) 15- 6 9 10 -0.58
314 H St Josephs (PA) 15-16 -1 -6 ++ 5.27
318 H Richmond 8-18 -10 -13 + 2.63
321 A Duquesne 16-14 2 2 0.50
328 A Davidson 3-17 -14 -10 -- -4.03
404 H George Washington 9-12 -3 -3 -0.44
411 H St Bonaventure 8-16 -8 -5 - -2.95
418 H Rhode Island 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.89
425 A VCU 2-13 -11 -9 - -2.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Rhode Island 5-13 -8 -1 --- -6.89 328 A Davidson 3-17 -14 -10 -- -4.03 206 H Robert Morris 10-11 -1 2 - -2.90 209 A LIU 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.69 411 H St Bonaventure 8-16 -8 -5 - -2.95 425 A VCU 2-13 -11 -9 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Youngstown State 17- 6 11 2 +++ 8.68 227 A American 16-12 4 -4 +++ 8.23 314 H St Josephs (PA) 15-16 -1 -6 ++ 5.27 318 H Richmond 8-18 -10 -13 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 10-11 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.08 -13.98
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 6- 9 -24.98 15.19 1.37 1.08 -12.78
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 12- 7 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 1.08 22.16
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 6 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.08 30.14
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 12-14 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 1.08 -11.58
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 16-12 -21.06 19.11 1.37 1.08 44.33
3 A La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 9 -28.27 11.90 1.37 1.08 28.73
3 H Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 15- 6 -32.13 8.03 -1.37 1.08 14.43
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 15-16 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.08 -9.56
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 8-18 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 1.08 -6.11
3 A Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 16-14 -26.79 13.37 1.37 1.08 31.92
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 3-17 -15.32 24.85 1.37 1.08 -7.55
3 H George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 9-12 -19.99 20.17 -1.37 1.08 -11.56
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 8-16 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 1.08 -10.22
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 5-13 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 1.08 -12.35
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 2-13 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.08 -8.30
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67.72
|
winning pts = 171.7145 losing points = -103.9968
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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